Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.006521 0.007303 0.008154 0.009152 0.010292 0.011556 0.013069
2025-02-16 0.005299 0.006373 0.007641 0.009259 0.011280 0.013739 0.016984
2025-02-23 0.004525 0.005697 0.007158 0.009127 0.011741 0.015130 0.019916
2025-03-02 0.004076 0.005328 0.006955 0.009254 0.012465 0.016858 0.023442
2025-03-09 0.003667 0.004943 0.006664 0.009193 0.012879 0.018164 0.026505
2025-03-16 0.003238 0.004478 0.006201 0.008817 0.012773 0.018675 0.028418
2025-03-23 0.002978 0.004219 0.005993 0.008771 0.013125 0.019875 0.031521
2025-03-30 0.002873 0.004171 0.006078 0.009163 0.014174 0.022259 0.036866
2025-04-06 0.002615 0.003868 0.005753 0.008878 0.014103 0.022809 0.039137
2025-04-13 0.002400 0.003614 0.005477 0.008641 0.014074 0.023409 0.041558
2025-04-20 0.002260 0.003462 0.005348 0.008627 0.014416 0.024678 0.045381
2025-04-27 0.002196 0.003428 0.005402 0.008922 0.015322 0.027054 0.051692
2025-05-04 0.002057 0.003264 0.005239 0.008841 0.015570 0.028293 0.056036
2025-05-11 0.001958 0.003160 0.005169 0.008921 0.016131 0.030218 0.062188
2025-05-18 0.001834 0.003006 0.004997 0.008797 0.016280 0.031330 0.066728
2025-05-25 0.001762 0.002932 0.004961 0.008919 0.016924 0.033536 0.074160
2025-06-01 0.001668 0.002815 0.004837 0.008859 0.017190 0.034973 0.080019
2025-06-08 0.001540 0.002628 0.004571 0.008499 0.016792 0.034899 0.082112
2025-06-15 0.001466 0.002533 0.004469 0.008456 0.017060 0.036357 0.088413
2025-06-22 0.001451 0.002546 0.004570 0.008831 0.018283 0.040189 0.101836
2025-06-29 0.001357 0.002406 0.004367 0.008558 0.018023 0.040445 0.105363
2025-07-06 0.001276 0.002284 0.004193 0.008330 0.017843 0.040874 0.109483
2025-07-13 0.001225 0.002217 0.004121 0.008317 0.018163 0.042605 0.117857